Continuous performance monitoring of a closed-loop insulin delivery system using Bayesian Surprise

Luis Ávila, Ernesto Martínez


The development of an artificial pancreas for the treatment of insulin-dependent diabetes is a big challenge for control theory. Many closed-loop algorithms have been widely evaluated for their ability to recreate, as closely as possible, glucose and insulin profiles observed in healthy individuals. Nevertheless, an artificial pancreas system also involves a critical necessity for supervision of the control loop functioning and the early detection of anomalies as well as performance deterioration. This work presents a performance monitoring approach using Bayesian surprise to fast detect functional degradation and guarantee adequate control of blood glucose levels. Bayesian surprise is significantly affected by any deviation from desired operation in a controlled system, which allows its use for continuous glucose monitoring.


Diabetes; Optimal action selection; Bayesian surprise; Artificial pancreas; Continuous performance monitoring.

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e-ISSN 2175-8018

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Iberoamerican Journal of Industrial Engineering. Universidade Federal de Santa Catarina. Departamento de Engenharia de Produção e Sistemas. Florianópolis, SC, Brasil.

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